Recruiters’ Reality is the Labor Market’s Prophecy

Hiring for recruiters has slowed in many industries. The highly cyclical profession tells a story of the broader labor market.

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The United Kingdom latest employment data will worry the BoE and the new government, especially the low level of worker churn.

Industries: Discover industry-specific insights and the state of hiring in these main sectors.

We have expanded our reporting to cover Canada and the UK.

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Recruitonomics is a hub for data-driven research that aims to make sense of our evolving world of work.

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Though more and more people are graduating from college, the U.K. labor market has a troubling graduate skill premium.
5 minutes
Rapidly rising interest rates didn't create the big economic downturn that many forecasters predicted. How did the economy avoid a recession?
4 minutes
BoE officials have made it clear that they are now willing to sacrifice the labor market to bring down inflation, but the official numbers are unreliable.
5 minutes
Many assume young workers are driving the push towards remote work, but age alone does not determine whether one is working onsite or not.
4 minutes
The strikes in the auto industry impacted job growth this month, as the labor market added 150,000 jobs and the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%.
3 minutes
A century ago, John Maynard Keynes envisioned a future world where a 15-hour work week was the norm. Was he really so far off the mark?
4 minutes
U.S. GDP growth was a startlingly strong 4.9% in Q3, driven by consumer spending. This level of growth is very far from recession territory.
4 minutes
Recently Federal Reserve data reveals that Americans are wealthier than ever. Net worth, adjusted for inflation, surged during the pandemic.
4 minutes
The risks to quantitative easing are benign during anemic recoveries. In this period of high inflation, it could results in bad losses.
5 minutes
Claudia Goldin was awarded a Nobel Prize this year for her work on women's labor market outcomes through time.
5 minutes
Job growth surprised again in Canada last month, but strong wage growth complicates things for the Bank of Canada's fight against inflation.
3 minutes
Time has run out on the pandemic-era child care funding program. That presents a challenge to working parents and child care providers across the country.
3 minutes
Corporate greed has been wrongly blamed for this bout of inflation. Greedflation isn't the problem. Excess growth and labor shortages are.
5 minutes
Inflation has subsided, while the economy has been surprisingly strong. A soft landing looks likely, but there are still some risks.
5 minutes
The story of the United Kingdom's economy lately has been one of disaster, but recent revisions may have changed the narrative.
4 minutes
High frequency indicators allow economists to gauge economic performance in real-time and they are pointing at a German contraction.
5 minutes
The dysfunctional housing market in the United Kingdom prevents workers from moving to highly productive cities, leading to underperformance.
4 minutes
After years of stagnation following the Eurozone crisis, Southern Europe has turned the tables and is now outperforming the rest of the Eurozone.
4 minutes
America’s history is rooted in an open immigration policy – and owes much of its economic success to it.
4 minutes
Advanced economies are experiencing very tight labor markets. This worker shortage has implications for hiring. Recruiters are increasingly poaching employees rather than recruiting from a shrinking pool of unemployed, which has implications for monetary policy.
8 minutes
Taylor Swift's Eras Tour has become the event of the summer, with some claiming it has saved the economy. Can popstars prevent recessions?
4 minutes
The German economy is once again underperforming, experiencing a technical recession earlier this year. But why is the country sick again?
6 minutes
Ireland was predicted to fall victim to American tech companies' slowdown earlier this year, but employment has held up strongly.
4 minutes
Germany was dubbed “the sick man of Europe” in the early 2000s. Labor market reforms paired with favorable macroeconomic conditions cured the economic malaise.
4 minutes
Japan's dismal demographic outlook has caused an interesting phenomenon: low unemployment paired with negative GDP growth. These "full employment recessions" are becoming more common in Europe.
4 minutes
American college students have shared which employers they want to work for. Discover the most popular employment destinations today!
3 minutes
American college graduates preparing to enter the workforce have shared what they want from their careers.
3 minutes
The Canadian labor market came back roaring in June, adding an impressive 60,000 net new jobs.
3 minutes
The German economy has benefited from a surge in immigration, but a skill mismatch is emerging.
5 minutes
Canada’s liberal immigration policies are a success story. The country’s population recently reached 40 million, surpassing that of California.
4 minutes
A massive inflow of Ukrainian refugees has boosted Poland’s labor supply and is contributing to its economy outperforming the rest of Europe.
5 minutes
Despite Brexit, the U.K. will remain a popular immigration destination, but the housing market will be a constraint moving forward. 
5 minutes
After ten consecutive increases, the Federal Reserve paused its rate hike cycle on Wednesday, easing recession fears.
3 minutes
While there is no doubt new AI technologies like ChatGPT will boost productivity, history tells us it could take some time.
4 minutes
The Canadian labor market is showing signs of trouble. In May, employment dropped, and Gen Z students are partially to blame.
2 minutes
Maybe the U.S. job market’s hot streak isn’t slowing after all! The labor market defied expectations once again, adding 339,000 jobs in May.
4 minutes
Germany is officially in a recession. Though there are declines in several industries, weak government spending is the largest drain.
5 minutes
Political polarization is hurting the U.S. economy. The debt ceiling standoff is just the latest – and most dangerous – example.
4 minutes
The recession that was revised away: new economic projections from the BoE no longer show an upcoming downturn in the United Kingdom.
3 minutes
How can a country with five million inhabitants distort the GDP of Europe, an economic area with more than 340 million people?
5 minutes
Recent cooling in the economy has contributed to softer price increases in the headline numbers, but inflation remains fairly stubborn.
2 minutes
The jobs market remains strong! In April, payroll employment rose by 253,000 and the unemployment rate fell to a half-century low of 3.4%.
4 minutes
Canada saw another strong month of gains in April but this time the increase was driven by part-time work.
5 minutes
Unlike other advanced economies, the U.K. is experiencing particularly sticky inflation and the real possibility of a wage-price spiral.
5 minutes
A tight labor market continues to deliver steady income growth, even in the face of entrenched inflation; that income growth is powering consumer spending, and that spending is holding up an otherwise lackluster economy.
4 minutes
Eurozone inflation remains too hot, but commodity prices and distorted supply chains are no longer the causes. It's excess demand.
5 minutes
Inflation is cooling overall, but housing inflation remains stubbornly high. This neutral report underscores the pressure still on the Fed.
3 minutes
Since 2020, recruiting has been difficult. In 2023, recruitment pressures have eased, reducing cost-per-application and cost-per-click.
4 minutes
The U.S. added 236,000 jobs in March and the unemployment rate ticked down to 3.5%, signs of a strong but cooling labor market. This is what the Fed wants to see to justify the ending its cycle of rate hikes.
3 minutes
With low unemployment and a booming service industry, the Canadian labor market continues to show strength, despite recessionary fears. Overall, the Canadian labor market added 35,000 new jobs, a 0.2% increase from last month’s gains. 
3 minutes

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